U.S., Jan. 18 -- The impact of the terrorist attack on the DusitD2 hotel in Nairobi this week is predicted to have a minimal impact on tourism to Kenya and any setback in visitor arrivals will last less than two weeks.

The prediction is based on an analysis of the attack on the Westgate shopping center in Nairobi in 2013 and its experience of analyzing similar terrorist incidents.

The 2013 terror attack had a clear and immediate impact on both international flight bookings and physical arrivals, but the effects faded after about 6 weeks. The Westgate siege started on Saturday 21st September. During the first week (21-27 Sept), international bookings to Kenya dropped by 64.6%. This negative trend continued until the week of 19th October....